Rowdie: Mathematical football prediction and betting tips

Backing favourites in football – Can you win money?

The short answer is no, but there are ways how to spot a value bet in the favourite vs underdog match

Paderborn vs Dortmund football prediction and match analysis (May 31, 2020)

Bookmakers trust the defensive power much more than our football result predictions. They offer odds on over 2,5 goals market 1.52, while our predictions suggest fair odds 1.41

Bayern Munich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf football prediction and match analysis (May 30, 2020)

Using our value bet calculator we see 28.3% value in the under 2,5 odds market and 21.2% value in the under 3,5 odds market

Freiburg – Bayer Leverkusen (May 29, 2020) football match prediction and match analysis

There is obviously a high volume of punters betting on away win of Leverkusen or the draw since the odds offered on Freiburg win climbed from opening 3.35 to 4.82 giving 8.6% value

Fortuna Düsseldorf – Schalke 04 (May 27, 2020) football betting recommendations and pre-match analysis

12.6% value are after all the peanuts from last days are convincing and we go for that

RB Leipzig – Hertha BSC (May 27, 2020) football betting recommendations and pre-match analysis

We found 2.8% value in the Both teams together to score less than 3.5 goals market when bookie offers 1.86 and our predictions suggest 1.81

Bayer Leverkusen – Wolfsburg (May 26, 2020) football betting recommendations and pre-match analysis

Analyzing other factors such as the chance of success being around 57% we go for the 1.2% value

When will the English Premier League resume the season play?

There is a lots of turbulence as the situation is changing rapidly. Cancelling the season is still an option

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich (May 26, 2020) football betting recommendations and pre-match analysis

Looking at the number of goals over 2.5, both teams to score or anywhere else we failed to find a betting opportunity within this fixture

Freiburg vs Werder Bremen (May 23, 2020) football betting recommendations and pre-match analysis

Looking for a value we see 6% in the away win of Werder Bremen and none in other results within the 1X2 market

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