Rowdie: Mathematical football prediction and betting tips

RB Leipzig – Hertha BSC (May 27, 2020) football betting recommendations and pre-match analysis

[team 277] is a clear favorite of the [fixture 11886291] and the bookies know that. They even know that the punters know that and therefore they offer a bad value on the home win. The mathematical football predictions of Rowdie suggest fair odds 1.46, but bookie offers only 1.34. Looking at how the odds developed, I see recommended bookmakers started by 1.40 but most likely the mob of home win bets forced them to push the odds down. The value in this case is calculated -8.2% and that is indeed called gambling (do NOT bet if you did not get that).

Looking further, we found 2.8% value in the “Both teams together to score less than 3.5 goals” market when bookie offers 1.86 and our predictions suggest 1.81 as a fair odds.

Analyzing the whole fixture we indeed see a value in the “away win” of [team 3317] market, but the chance is very low – only around 11%. Our internal rules say about not going for odds above 7.00. Please look how to calculate if odds are fair if you have no idea about how we got those numbers.

You can access the details of RB Leipzig – Hertha BSC via the prediction tab in fixture details or through the football prediction section. The predictions are being calculated with sophisticated self learning algorithms delivered by real data scientists. We are comparing our predictions with the odds of a bookmaker. Please note, the odds of your bookie might be different.

We found 2.8% value in the Both teams together to score less than 3.5 goals market when bookie offers 1.86 and our predictions suggest 1.81

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