Rowdie: Mathematical football prediction and betting tips

Search

# Bayern Munich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf football prediction and match analysis (May 30, 2020)

Based on the latest results and the form od [team 503], the majority of punters expect huge amounts of goals in the [fixture 11886299]. Looking at the statistics and volumes of bets placed, the expectations of punters have obviously pushed the odds at the bookie higher than they should be.

There is a decent value in the under 2,5 goals market as well as in the under 3,5 goals market. In the first case the bookie offers odds 4.8 while our football fair odds predictions suggest odds only 3.74. Looking at the under 3,5 goals market, we see odds 2.57 offered by a bookie, while our fair odds predictions calculated 2.12.

Using our value bet calculator we see 28.3% value in the under 2,5 odds market and 21.2% value in the under 3,5 odds market. The calculated chance of success in the under 3,5 odds market is decent 47,1% and we go for that.

There is obviously no value in the traditional 1X2 market, since our fair odds prediction predicts fair odds 1.42 but bookie offers only 1.09. You can find a value in the draw or away win, but the chances of success are low. Is [team 1092] going to make a big surprise? We don’t think so, but the amount of goals might be the way.

You can access the details of Bayern Munich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf via the prediction tab in fixture details or through the football prediction section. The predictions are being calculated with sophisticated self learning algorithms delivered by real data scientists. We are comparing our predictions with the odds of a bookmaker. Please note, the odds of your bookie might be different.

Using our value bet calculator we see 28.3% value in the under 2,5 odds market and 21.2% value in the under 3,5 odds market