Rowdie: Mathematical football prediction and betting tips

Watford vs Newcastle predictions & betting tips

After their 5-0 thumping at the Etihad on Wednesday night [team 20] won’t relish the prospect of another away game, this time against a [team 25] team looking to build on their recent victory against Norwich and take another step towards Premier League survival. The Hornet’s midweek win was their fifth home win of the season, and don’t forget they beat Liverpool 3-0 just before lockdown.

Watford have scored 65% of their total goals for the season on their own patch, with 42% of those conceded coming in front of their own fans. Meanwhile Newcastle have conceded an average of just over 2 goals per game away and have lost 10 times on their travels.

The stats reflect that with a 45.81% chance of a Watford win which suggests even the 4/5 on offer is a decent bet. Statistically, the most likely outcome is a 1-1 draw, currently available at 11/2, but not far behind that, and given Newcastle’s awful away form, we think the 2-1 home win at 8/1 is a better bet. Although their home form has been far better than their away form, [coach 896553]’s men have still only managed an average of just over a goal a game at Vicarage Road, but they’ll fancy their chance of getting 2 on Saturday and so do we. But the best betting value could be on [player 1183] to score with a header. He did so against [team 33] and he also managed 2 headed shots against [team 18] in the previous game it’s 18/1 for him to score another one against a shaky Newcastle defence.

You can access the details of the Watford vs Newcastle match fixture via the prediction tab in match details or through the free football predictions section. The predictions are being calculated with a sophisticated self learning algorithms delivered by real data scientists. The details of the fixture you can find at [fixture 11867574] with all the statistics and predictions.


the best betting value could be on Craig Dawson to score with a header with odds 18/1

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