Rowdie: Mathematical football prediction and betting tips

Mathematical football predictions
11. April 2026: Southampton vs. Derby Free Football Predictions
Get expert-driven football predictions for Southampton vs. Derby in the Championship. Our AI-powered system and self-learning algorithm analyze a vast range of data, including team form, player statistics, historical performance, and match conditions, to generate accurate mathematical football predictions.
⚽ Match Details:
Fixture: Southampton vs. Derby Competition: Championship (England) - 2025 Season: 2025-2026 Matchweek: 42 Kickoff: 16:00 Venue: St. Mary's Stadium Referee: A. Kitchen
💡 Betting Insights & Caution
While our predictions provide valuable insights, it’s important to approach them with a critical mindset. Bookmakers are well aware of statistical probabilities and often adjust their odds accordingly, sometimes offering lower odds than the actual mathematical probabilities suggest. Always use your judgment before placing a real bet.
📊 Prediction Summary:
Double chance : Southampton or draw
🚨 Disclaimer:
Past performance is not a guarantee of future success. Football remains unpredictable, and there are no risk-free bets. We do not take responsibility for potential losses. Take your time to analyze the Southampton vs. Derby prediction before betting real money. Stay informed and make smarter betting decisions with our AI-generated football predictions for 2025-2026!
| St. Mary's Stadium | 11 Apr 2026-16:00
Southampton
d w w w w
2 : 1
1.64
xG
0.91
Full Time
Derby
l w w l w
Léo Scienza
62'
T. Harwood-Bellis
69'
C. Morris
38'
Mathematical Football Prediction for the match
Team comparison
Prediction
Double chance : Southampton or draw
Goals Home: -2.5*
Goals Away: -2.5*
* -1.5 means that there will be a maximum of 1.5 goals in the fixture, i.e : 1 goal
Who Will Win
Betting tips and Forebets
11. April 2026: Southampton vs. Derby betting tips and forebet analysis. Our platform combines expert insights and cutting-edge mathematical models to bring you the most accurate betting tips for this match in the Championship. By leveraging complex algorithms and historical data, we offer in-depth forebet predictions for Southampton vs. Derby, helping you identify potential outcomes and high-value opportunities. Our system continuously evolves, using AI and machine learning to refine predictions and stay ahead of market trends. Explore our Southampton vs. Derby betting tips and forebet analysis for a comprehensive breakdown that can enhance your betting strategy.
Head to Head
Championship
4 Oct 2025
- 16:00
Derby
1.36
xG
1.06
1 1
Southampton
Match Formation
player photo
7.9
41
D. Peretz
player photo
8
3
R. Manning
player photo
7.3
5
J. Stephens
player photo
8.9
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
player photo
6.3
14
J. Bree
7.9
20
Caspar Jander
player photo
7.2
4
F. Downes
player photo
8.9
13
Léo Scienza
player photo
7.3
10
F. Azaz
player photo
6.2
18
T. Fellows
player photo
6.5
11
R. Stewart
player photo
7.2
12
R. O'Donnell
player photo
6.3
22
M. Johnston
player photo
6.9
5
M. Clarke
player photo
6.2
28
D. Sanderson
player photo
6.7
23
J. Ward
player photo
6.7
18
D. Ozoh
player photo
6.9
27
L. Travis
player photo
6.3
42
B. Clark
player photo
6.3
19
S. Szmodics
player photo
6.5
34
J. Banel
player photo
7.5
9
C. Morris
field field
Detailed Match Statistics
Southampton
Derby
Off Target 7 Blocked 3
On Target 5
On Target 4
Off Target 5 Blocked 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
6 Corners 2
8 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
64 Ball Possession 36
15 Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 4
2 Goals 1
7 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
446 Total passes 257
379 Passes accurate 195
1.64 Expected Goals 0.91
Lineups
Southampton
41
g
7.9
14
d
87'
6.3
69'
8.9
7.3
8
4
m
7.2
7.9
18
m
64'
6.2
10
m
75'
7.3
62'75'
8.9
11
f
64'
6.5
Substitutes
87'
34
d
24
m
75'
6.3
9
f
64'90'
6.2
19
f
23
m
75'
6.7
27
m
64'
6.7
25
g
48
m
Coach
Derby
7.2
23
m
6.7
53'
6.2
5
d
67'
6.9
6.3
27
d
84'
6.9
18
m
67'
6.7
34
f
66'
6.5
6.3
42
m
9'
6.3
9
f
38'
7.5
Substitutes
29
m
9'55'
6.3
84'
67'
6.3
66'
6.3
4
d
31
g
67'
6.2
54
m
Coach
Timeline
1st Half
45' 15' 30'
6'
 
2nd Half
90' 60' 75'
6'
Yellow and Red Card Summary
53'
Yellow Card
55'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
90'
+3
Southampton
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Derby
Goalkeepers
Field Players
Match Commentary
Southampton
Derby
9' Substitute
In:O. Fraulo
Out:B. Clark
O. Fraulo
38' 0:1 Goal
C. Morris
C. Morris
53' Yellow Card
D. Sanderson
D. Sanderson
55' Yellow Card
O. Fraulo
O. Fraulo
Léo Scienza
Goal 1:1 62'
Léo Scienza
Assistant: F. Azaz
C. Larin
Substitute 64'
In:C. Larin
Out:R. Stewart
K. Matsuki
Substitute 64'
In:K. Matsuki
Out:T. Fellows
66' Substitute
In:Owen Eames
Out:J. Banel
67' Substitute
In:S. Langås
Out:D. Ozoh
S. Langås
67' Substitute
In:C. Forsyth
Out:M. Clarke
C. Forsyth
T. Harwood-Bellis
Goal 2:1 69'
T. Harwood-Bellis
Assistant: R. Manning
S. Edozie
Substitute 75'
In:S. Edozie
Out:Léo Scienza
S. Charles
Substitute 75'
In:S. Charles
Out:F. Azaz
84' Substitute
In:L. Salvesen
Out:L. Travis
N. Wood-Gordon
Substitute 87'
In:N. Wood-Gordon
Out:J. Bree
C. Larin
Yellow Card 90' +3'
C. Larin