Rowdie: Mathematical football prediction and betting tips

Liverpool vs Aston Villa prediction & betting tips

For those who did not watch the match and think the Reds fucked it up let me tell you what the statistics say. The match was not a clear thing and if the Citizens deserved to win, for sure not with such a devastating score. From our point of view was the win of Manchester City a deserved thing and we even won big by betting on that fixture, the stats however are not so clear.

The latest results of Aston Villa on the other hand are not so convincing and they need to improve a lot. 2 goals in 4 games are simply not enough to keep on the [league 8] for the next season.

What is the probability of a draw or away win in the class against Liverpool on Anfield? The free football predictions of Rowdie came up with about 26% chance of the X2 result. The feeling however suggests much less than that. Remember. This is Liverpool with one of the toughest squads in the World under the leadership of [coach 455353].

99.999% of the bets placed at one of the biggest UK bookmakers say it clearly. Liverpool will take all 3 points. Bookmaker has lowered the opening odds from 2/5 to 8/25 (converted to decimal odds 1.4 to 1.32), but we still believe a decent value bet is there and bet on it.

Over 2,5 goals market predicted fair odds suggest the same odds as those of a bookie. Surprising is that punters believe in the win of Liverpool, but not as much in the huge number of goals. The value in this market is questionable, but we go for that as well.

You can access the details of the Liverpool vs Aston Villa match fixture via the prediction tab in match details or through the free football predictions section. The predictions are being calculated with sophisticated self learning algorithms delivered by real data scientists.

We are comparing our predictions with the odds of a bookmaker. Please note, the odds of your bookie might be different and make sure to learn football betting before betting money. For more football games check football picks for Today.

99.999% of the bets placed at one of the biggest UK bookmakers say it clearly. Liverpool will take all 3 points

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