Rowdie: Mathematical football prediction and betting tips

Aston Villa vs Chelsea match preview and prediction

In the last fixture against Sheffield dominated by the Reds in the shots on goal statistics by 13:6. This fast (and some other factors) increased the previous 15% chance of winning to 18%. On the other hand Sheffield with not yet guaranteed position in the EPL is expected to show no mercy.

Let’s look now at betting opportunities. March 2014 was it the last time when Aston Villa took the win over Chelsea, but the last clash ([fixture 11867372] was not so convincing either. While some of the best British bookmakers offer odds 1.56, our fair odds football predictions suggest 1.58. The experience from the German Bundesliga and Spanish La Liga shows that the strong ones came back after the Corona pandemics even stronger and we believe the squad of [coach 95] will not be an exception. We will keep an eye on the away win of Chelsea, but till we make the final decision about it, we will place a bet on the value found in the Over 2.5 market. The bookmakers offer odds 1.63 and our predictions suggest fair odds 1.44 giving a decent 13.2% calculated value.

You can access the details of the Aston Villa vs Chelsea fixture via the prediction tab in match details or through the football prediction section. The predictions are being calculated with sophisticated self learning algorithms delivered by real data scientists. We are comparing our predictions with the odds of a bookmaker. Please note, the odds of your bookie might be different. For the full sports betting theory, please visit our academy.

The 13.2% value was found in the Over 2.5 goals market

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