Rowdie: Mathematical football prediction and betting tips

Aston Villa vs Manchester United predictions & betting tips

With [team 15] staring relegation in the face and [team 14] still in the hunt for a [league 2] place, the match [fixture 11867558] is far from a late season dead rubber. Villa’s home form is far superior to their away form this season with 67% of their 27 points coming at home. But they’ve still lost 8 of their 16 fixtures at Villa Park and this week they face a bang in form Manchester United side.

United are unbeaten in their last 15 games and have hit an impressive 14 goals in 5 games since the [league 8] resumed. In stark contrast Villa haven’t won in 10 and have averaged just 1.18 goals per home game this term. This reflected in the odds with United 1/3 for a win in the three-way result and Villa 15/2.

The football prediction mathematicians suggest both teams to score is slightly favourable with a 56.18% chance of that happening but, given United’s away goals conceded equals Villa’s average scored at home at 1.18 per game the 10/11 doesn’t really represent any value.

Instead we suggest looking at the markets for the total number of goals scored. The probability of over 2.5 goals is quite high at 58.71% with the probability of under 3.5 even higher at 63.69% which makes the 13/8 for over 2.5 goals quite an attractive proposition.

Correct score betting favours the 1-1 draw or a 1-2 win for United but given the relative form lines of each team, trying to be too specific seems a brave move by any punter unless you want to take on a shock result for Aston Villa or a big United win.

You can access the details of the Aston Villa vs Manchester United match fixture via the prediction tab in match details or through the free football predictions section. The predictions are being calculated with a sophisticated self learning algorithms delivered by real data scientists.

We are comparing our predictions with the odds of a bookmaker. Please note, the odds of your bookie might be different and make sure to learn football betting before betting online for real money. For the past action please action check latest football results.

United are unbeaten in their last 15 games and have hit an impressive 14 goals in 5 games since the league resumed. In contrast Villa haven’t won in 10 and have averaged just 1.18 goals per home game

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